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The
Economy Is Recovering |
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- The real economic growth
rate for 2002 was 2.3%.
- The real economic growth
rate for 2003 is forecast to be 3%.
- However, deflation will
persist in the short term, affecting personal
income, corporate profits and government
revenue.
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Hong Kong is facing a huge fiscal
deficit - this is unprecedented:
- The consolidated deficit for
2002-03 is forecast to be $70 billion, equivalent
to 5.5% of GDP.
- With investment income excluded,
Hong Kong has had consecutive operating deficits
over the past five years, and the situation
is deteriorating. The operating deficit
has increased from $32 billion in 1998-99 to
$67.6 billion in 2002-03.
- The Government's fiscal reserves
have decreased from $457 billion in 1997-98
to $303 billion in 2002-03.
- With government expenditure
remaining high and revenue declining, the structural
trend of revenue falling short of expenditure
must be reversed early. Otherwise, economic
recovery will be impeded and a financial crisis
may set in.
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The
Strategy for Eliminating the Deficit |
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The Budget has set a target of
achieving fiscal balance in 2006-07 and has formulated
practical measures to solve the fiscal deficit
problem with a three-pronged approach:
- Boost the economy
- Cut expenditure
- Raise revenue
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The Government is implementing
specific measures to carry out the economic blueprint
of the Chief Executive and to improve people's
livelihood:
- Big market, small government
- reduce public expenditure
from 22.3% of GDPto 20% or below
- serve the public more effectively by reprioritising
service provision, reorganising government department
structures, reengineering procedures and making
full use of the market
- Building Hong Kong into a
regional metropolis
- improve facilities at our boundary crossings
to speed up the flow of people and
goods
- step up overseas promotions to attract foreign
companies to invest into the Pearl River Delta
and to set up regional office in Hong Kong
- reach an arrangement on the main parts of
a Mainland/Hong Kong Closer Economic
Partnership Arrangement by June
- study the construction of a bridge linking
to the western part of the Pearl River Delta
and a Guangzhou - Shenzhen-Hong Kong express
railway
- Developing human resources
and infrastructure
- set up a $1 billion fund to award matching
grants to universities which have succeeded
in securing private donations
- study a proposal to attract primary and secondary
school students outside Hong Kong to receive
education in Hong Kong
- ease restrictions on the entry of Mainland
professionals and further expand the scope for
investment immigration
- introduce a list of projects for private sector
participation
- earmark an average of about $29 billion annually
for infrastructure works over the next five
years, similar to that for the past five years
- Enhancing core industries,
i.e. financial services, logistics, tourism
and producer and professional services, and
fostering the development of creative and high-tech
industries
- Increasing employment opportunities
- provide funding of $270 million to enhance
training and extend temporary jobs
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Controlling
Public Expenditure |
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The Government has set a target
to reduce operating expenditure by $20 billion,
to $200 billion by 2006-07:
- reduce civil service establishment
by 10%, launch a second round of the Voluntary
Retirement Scheme and freeze civil service recruitment
- cut civil service pay by 6%
in two phases over the next two years
- economise vigorously and optimise
use of resources
- adjust social security payments
downwards by 11%
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Raise additional revenue of $20
billion in the next four years with $14 billion
to be raised through the introduction of the following
measures this year:
- Salaries Tax
- restore marginal tax rates and tax bands to
the levels before the concessions made in 1998-99
- restore allowances to the levels before the
concessions made in 1998-99, but maintain the
dependent grandparent, parent and sibling allowances,
the disabled dependant allowance, and the deduction
for expenses on self-education, etc, at current
levels
- increase the standard rate by one percentage
point to 16%
- the above measures to be implemented in two
phases
- increase the allowance for the third to ninth
child to $30,000, equal to that for the first
and second child
- Profits Tax
- increase by one and a half percentage points
to 17.5%
- Property Tax
- increase by one percentage point to 16% over
a period of two years
- Motor Vehicle First Registration
Tax
- abolish tax exemption for accessories and
for distributors' warranties; adjust the width
of tax bands and tax rates; and introduce a
marginal tax rate system
- Air Passenger Departure Tax
- increase from $80 to $120
- Introduce a Football Betting
Duty
- Introduce a Boundary Facilities
Improvement Tax
- Ultra Low Sulphur Diesel Duty
- extend the duty concession for another year,
maintaining the duty rate at $1.11 per litre
- Sale of government assets
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Restoring
Fiscal Sustainability |
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Achieve the following targets
by 2006-07:
- Attain a balanced Operating
Account
- Restore balance in the
Consolidated Account
- Reduce public expenditure
to 20% of GDP or below
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